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to Section One | to Arts & Entertainment
posted Friday, January 23, 2015 - Volume 43 Issue 04
Voters are ready for Hillary, new poll says
Section One
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Voters are ready for Hillary, new poll says

by Mike Andrew - SGN Staff Writer

Hillary Clinton shows double-digit leads over all the most frequently mentioned Republican presidential hopefuls, according to a Washington Post/ABC News poll released January 22.

In more good news for the former Secretary of State, every matchup shows her with more than 50% of the vote.

According to the poll, Clinton beats former Florida Governor Jeb Bush by 54% to 41%.

The fact that Bush's father and brother served as president makes no difference to 55% of the respondents, but among those for whom that fact does count, they rate it as a negative by 3 to 1.

Clinton's marriage to former President Bill Clinton, in contrast, is a net positive for her. More than 6 in 10 respondents said her marriage to the former president has no bearing on whether they would support her candidacy. But among those to whom her marriage to Bill would matter, 23% said it makes them more likely to support her, while only 14% said less likely.

Clinton also beats 2012 loser Mitt Romney by 55% to 40%.

Romney's 2012 bid for the presidency makes no difference for just over 6 in 10 respondents, but among those for whom it does matter, about twice as many say it makes them less likely to support him.

Clinton holds equally large leads over the more exotic Republican hopefuls. She tops Senator Rand Paul and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie by 13 points each, and leads former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee by 17 points.

Clinton leads in almost all demographics measured by the new poll.

For example, she leads among both male and female voters. Women favor Clinton by 20 to 24 points, while men split more closely, but still tend towards Clinton.

Clinton edges Romney by 50% to 46% among male voters in the new poll, whereas Romney beat Obama among men 52-45% in 2012. Clinton's whopping 59% to 36% lead over Romney among women voters is bigger than Obama's 55% to 44% over Romney in 2012.

Clinton wins more than 90% support from registered Democrats, but her Republican challengers win less than 80% among fellow Republicans. Clinton leads every opponent among political independents, a group that narrowly favored Romney over Obama in 2012 even as the Republican lost by four points overall.

White respondents still tended toward the Republican candidates, but only by single digits - from three to seven point margins - while Romney won whites by 20 points in 2012, and John McCain by 12 points in 2008.

Of the candidates mentioned in the poll, only Bush has formed an exploratory committee.

Romney recently told former donors he still wanted to be president, and Huckabee has quit his job as a FOX News anchor, presumably to avoid conflict of interest allegations when he announces his candidacy.

Rand Paul's campaign would be hampered by a Kentucky law prohibiting him from running for reelection as a Senator and for president at the same time.

Clinton has neither confirmed nor denied reports that she is running, but polls show her as the overwhelming favorite to get the Democratic nomination if and when she announces.

The WaPo/ABC poll was conducted January 12-15 among a random national sample of 1,003 adults interviewed by telephone, including 311 cell-only respondents. The overall margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 points. For the sample of 843 registered voters, the margin of error is four percentage points.

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